Why you need your own Predictive AI Tool

Why You Need Your Own Predictive AI Tool
- Predictive AI offers incredible power for personal and professional life.
- From forecasting market trends to optimizing your daily schedule, the possibilities are endless.
- But expensive and complex commercial AI tools limit access to this technology.

Data Science for Social Impact

What is it?

Unlocking the Power of Data for Social Impact
- Introduce the concept of data science for social good, highlighting its potential to address pressing social issues.
 

 


In the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, the concept of "story" takes on new dimensions. AI systems are now capable of not only analyzing vast amounts of text but also generating narratives that resonate with human emotions and experiences. This capability opens up exciting possibilities for various fields, including entertainment, education, and even therapeutic practices. As AI continues to learn from diverse datasets, the stories it crafts can mirror cultural nuances and reflect societal issues, prompting discussions about creativity, originality, and the essence of storytelling itself.

 

Real-World Applications: Examples in Action
- Showcase inspiring case studies where data science is making a tangible difference in the world.
- Highlight projects that leverage data analytics to combat poverty, improve healthcare, or promote environmental sustainability.
- Discuss how data-driven solutions are empowering communities and fostering positive social change.

How to know which AI chatbot is best?

Do you really trust the benchmarks...

 

Grok 3 has been making waves in the AI community, with some claiming it outperforms ChatGPT in key areas. However, OpenAI, backed by significant funding, is expected to make major improvements with GPT-5, ensuring its dominance in the field. Meanwhile, DeepSeek stunned the AI world by delivering an exceptional chatbot despite having significantly fewer resources, proving that innovation is not just about funding but also about strategy and execution.

Review of the o1 and Advanced Reasoning Mode

The latest o1 update introduces a new level of reasoning capability, making it far superior to its predecessors. With enhanced contextual awareness and improved decision-making, o1 can tackle complex problems with greater accuracy. This marks a significant step forward in AI evolution, pushing the boundaries of what chatbots can achieve.

Review of the New Chat GPT-4 Omni - First Impressions - May 2024

The new AI Chat GPT-4 Omni is more human-like and faster, but it is not AGI and has limitations in its abilities, particularly in legal recommendations, and it is important to consult with a qualified attorney for compliance with state laws and unique circumstances. 🤖 Chat GPT-4 Omni feels more human-like and is faster, but it's not AGI, just a specialized language model. Open AI made a huge update to their chat, but and although it was already quite effective now it feels even more emotional like I’m texting a friend. This clip shows me using an API for chat GPt4(o) that is called FreedomGPT which is a project to make LLMs available to all. The Open AI that I use for chat GPT has model selection for 3.5, 4, and 4(O) though you max out the request limit. Using 3.5 for basic tasks because this is efficient. The response times have been delayed. You can ask it more open-ended questions and still get good answers. Although I would say it still suffers from the formatting issues. It will give you more information than you need it to as in this example, when I asked it to fill in a few sentences, it returned an entire document is still the same that we humans face which is how do you effectively select the information that’s important. Google has also released many AI products

 

Conversational AI with Documents

The use of machine learning and regression models can accurately predict bike sharing demand, and that AI can be trained to understand and use these models effectively. Chat with a document on AWS Bedrock to summarize a complex 18-page technical piece of writing. You can find this document from my earlier video about the project. 📝 The document examines data on bike sharing demand and explores modeling approaches to predict the number of bike rentals per hour, evaluating various regression models and identifying key factors influencing demand.

AI Foundation Models - June 2024

Are these reliable & Secure Generative AI? Amazon Bedrock is a new service for building Foundation models, offering easy scaling and customization for generative AI applications, with a focus on reliable and secure results through customization and guardrails. - Amazon Bedrock is a new service for building Foundation models, offering easy scaling and customization for generative AI applications. - AWS Bedrock allows customization and selection of state-of-the-art AI models for reliable and secure generative AI. AI used to generate a poem about traveling to Vermont, discussing data set creation and increasing response length. - Amazon's Titan text model generates varied responses to short prompts, with the second poem being less rigid and following a specific structure. - Generative AI applications require consistent parameters for reliable and secure results. - AI system uses guardrails to filter inappropriate content and prevent users from overriding it by adding denied topics and avoiding misclassification. - Filter and block profanity and sensitive information in AI model responses, including alcohol-related words and personal identifiable information. Foundation models in AI can be accessed through Amazon's platform for transfer learning, allowing for exploration of different parameters and tunings.

Cyber Security

Cybersecurity refers to the practice of protecting computer systems, networks, and data from unauthorized access, theft, or damage. This field involves a range of technologies, processes, and strategies designed to defend against threats such as hacking, malware, ransomware, phishing, and other cyberattacks. Essentially, cybersecurity aims to ensure the confidentiality, integrity, and availability of digital information, allowing individuals and organizations to operate safely and securely in the digital world.

Working Alongside The Best Talent in Tech Field for 6 Years

The people you work with are the best part of any job in my opinion, and having been lucky enough to collaborate with outstanding professionals in all fields such as IT, software development, engineering, managerment, leadership positions, across the vertical and horizontal levels of corporations, it is always the fun jokes and spicy personalities that made the work worthwhile.  

Phishing Attacks

Hackers send deceptive emails or messages designed to trick individuals into revealing passwords or installing malware. Once the victim clicks a malicious link or opens a harmful attachment, the attacker can gain access to their systems.

Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Attack

Although not always aimed at breaching security, DDoS attacks can overwhelm a system’s resources, creating distractions that might allow hackers to infiltrate other areas or plant malicious code.

Exploiting Software Vulnerabilities

Hackers identify flaws in software—such as unpatched operating systems or outdated applications—and use them to break into a network. A successful exploit can give attackers remote control over targeted systems

Brute Force and Credential Stuffing

By using automated tools, hackers can attempt millions of password combinations until they find the correct one. They may also use previously stolen credentials from data breaches to log into systems and expand their reach.

Supply Chain Attacks

Hackers compromise a trusted software provider or vendor, injecting malicious code into legitimate software updates or packages. When unsuspecting users install these updates, they unknowingly introduce malware into their systems.

Data Center Breaches

Data center breaches occur when unauthorized individuals or groups gain access to sensitive information, systems, or physical infrastructure housed within a data center. Data centers store and process vast amounts of critical data for companies, governments, and other organizations. 

Social Engineering

Attackers might trick data center staff into divulging login credentials or other sensitive information, bypassing traditional security measures

Global Actuarial Education Cost Estimates (2025)

From ChatGPT 4o (Deep Research), accessed 3/5/2025

 

Global Actuarial Community and Exam Requirements

The actuarial profession is relatively small, with roughly 80,000 actuaries worldwide across 115+ countries (The Global Reach of the Actuarial Profession | Casualty Actuarial Society). To become fully qualified, candidates must pass a rigorous series of exams. In North America, the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) require about 10 exams for fellowship (e.g. ~6 preliminary exams for an Associate, plus 3–4 advanced exams for Fellowship) (Actuarial credentialing and exams - Wikipedia). The UK’s Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) has a similar structure with 13 exams under the 2019 curriculum (10 core exams for Associateship + 3 specialist exams for Fellowship) (Actuary Exams Guide: 7 Essential Tips & Resources for Success). Other international bodies have comparable exam requirements. These qualification paths typically take several years, and candidates often study while working.

Direct Costs: Exams, Study Materials, and Courses

Exam Fees: Actuarial exam fees in 2025 range from a few hundred to over a thousand USD per exam. For example, the first preliminary SOA exams cost around $260 USD each, while advanced fellowship exams cost up to $1,275 USD (Actuarial Exam Costs (Exam Fees + Study Materials) - Etched Actuarial %). CAS exam fees are in a similar range (e.g. $550 for mid-level exams and about $850 for advanced exams) (Exam Fees | Casualty Actuarial Society). Internationally, exam fees are comparable; the IFoA charges about £330 (≈$400) for core exams, though it offers reduced rates (~£200) for candidates with low incomes or from certain regions (Exam Q&As for non members).

Study Materials: In addition to fees, candidates usually invest in study manuals, textbooks, or online courses. These study material costs can vary widely from $0 (using free resources) to well over $1,000 per exam (Actuarial Exam Costs (Exam Fees + Study Materials) - Etched Actuarial %). Many popular study guides or e-learning packages for a single exam cost a few hundred dollars. For instance, a comprehensive online seminar for a preliminary exam might cost about $450 for a year’s access (Online Seminars for Professional Actuarial Examinations – Actuary), not counting the recommended textbooks. As exams become more advanced, material costs can increase (more extensive textbooks, specialty online seminars, etc.). It’s common for candidates to spend on the order of $300–$600 on materials per exam on average (some spend less by reusing materials or employer-provided resources, while others invest in premium courses and exam prep tools).

Preparatory Courses and Seminars: Beyond self-study materials, candidates may attend review classes or seminars. Universities and private firms offer preparatory courses (online or in-person) typically ranging a few hundred dollars in tuition. For example, a university-run online prep course for Exam P or FM is around $400–$500 (Online Seminars for Professional Actuarial Examinations – Actuary). Some employers or local actuarial clubs also host exam workshops at little to no cost to the student. At the fellowship level, candidates must attend professionalism courses or capstone seminars. The SOA’s required Associateship Professionalism Course (APC) has a fee of about $600–$800 (Associateship Professionalism Course (APC) - SOA), and the Fellowship Admission Course entails a registration fee (around $500) plus travel expenses to an in-person seminar. These are typically one-time costs near the end of the qualification process.

Summary of Direct Costs: In total, direct out-of-pocket costs per actuary (exam fees, study materials, courses, etc.) are significant. With ~10 exams and an average of perhaps $500 in fees + $500 in materials per exam, one might expect around $1,000 per exam or $10,000 overall for a full qualification (in 2025 dollars). This can be higher if multiple attempt fees or expensive resources are needed, or lower if employers/universities cover some costs. For all actuaries globally, the aggregate direct costs to attain qualifications easily reach the hundreds of millions of dollars. For instance, 800,000+ exam sittings (80k actuaries × ~10 exams each) at a few hundred dollars each implies on the order of $0.5–$1.0 billion in exam fees paid historically. Adding study material purchases likely pushes the global direct expenditure closer to $1–$1.5 billion (cumulatively) over the years. In a given year, tens of thousands of exam registrations occur, so annual direct spending on actuarial education worldwide is on the order of $50–$100+ million (exam fees plus new manuals/courses purchased each year).

Indirect Costs: Lost Wages, Travel, and Employer Support

Paid Study Time / Lost Productivity: A major indirect cost of actuarial training is the time devoted to exam preparation. Actuarial candidates often study hundreds of hours per exam (the rule of thumb is ~100 study hours per hour of exam). Employers typically provide paid study hours as an investment in their trainees. It’s not uncommon for an entry-level actuary to get 100–200 hours of paid study time per exam attempt, in addition to study on personal time. This paid time is a real cost to employers – effectively paying the employee’s salary for a month or more of study each year (Four Futures for Actuaries in the Wake of AI - Actuarial Review Magazine). One industry article notes that many companies “pay for one month or more per year of study time, during which there is no direct or immediate output from the analyst” (Four Futures for Actuaries in the Wake of AI - Actuarial Review Magazine). Over the 5–10 years it takes to qualify, an employer might invest roughly half a year’s salary (or more) per actuary in paid study leave. For example, if an actuarial student’s salary is $60,000, a month of paid study ($5,000) each year for 6–7 years amounts to $30–$35k in wages paid for study. This is an opportunity cost (lost productivity) but is generally viewed as part of the training budget.

Employer Sponsorship and Training Budgets: In addition to study time, most employers cover exam fees and materials for their actuarial staff. It is now standard (especially in the US, Canada, UK) for companies to pay registration fees and reimburse the cost of manuals or online courses ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). Employers also often reward exam progress with raises or bonuses ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics), which, while not a direct “cost” of education, are an incentive that increases compensation expense as employees pass exams. Many companies allocate a specific budget per exam (covering fees, books, travel, seminars) often ranging from $1,500 to $3,000 for each exam passed, which includes all direct expenses and incidental costs. Large insurance firms may have actuarial student programs with dedicated training staff or external coaching sessions – these program costs (salaries of coaches, infrastructure) are part of the indirect investment in education.

Travel and Miscellaneous: With computer-based testing now common, travel costs for exams have diminished (candidates usually take exams at a local proctored center or online). However, some travel expenses still occur: attending the SOA Fellowship admissions course or CAS professionalism course may require a flight and hotel stay, and some candidates travel to sit exams if local centers are unavailable. There are also costs like professional membership dues (e.g. student membership in IFoA, which is required to sit exams in some countries, or fees for actuarial conferences if used as learning). Employers might also send students to off-site exam prep seminars or university courses, incurring travel and registration costs. While these expenses are relatively minor on a per-person basis (perhaps a few hundred to a couple thousand dollars total over the exam journey), they add to the global cost footprint.

Summary of Indirect Costs: Indirect costs are harder to quantify but substantial. For a single actuary, the economic cost of time spent studying (much of which is on the clock) can exceed the direct costs by far. It’s not unusual for the salary paid during study time and exam-related bonuses to total $20,000–$50,000 over the course of qualification (depending on salary level and years taken). Multiply this by thousands of actuaries in training, and it represents billions of dollars in employer investment over time. As a rough estimate, the global actuarial exam study time cost (wages for study hours) could be on the order of $2–$3 billion cumulatively for the current cohort of actuaries (e.g. ~$30k per actuary × 80k actuaries). Even on an annual basis, if we assume ~30,000 candidates actively studying with employer support, and say $5k worth of paid time and support each on average per year, that’s about $150 million per year worldwide in indirect training cost. Clearly, companies view this as a long-term investment in developing credentialed professionals.

Aggregate Global Cost Estimate (2025)

Considering both direct and indirect components, the total global educational cost for actuarial qualifications is enormous, even though the profession is small in number. In 2025, at current cost levels, the aggregate cost to train and certify actuaries (past and present) can be estimated in the several billions of US dollars. To break it down:

Direct Costs (Exams, Materials, Courses): Roughly $1 billion (order of magnitude) in total has been spent globally on exam fees, study resources, and courses for all actuaries to date. Each year adds on tens of millions more in new exam fees and materials. For example, SOA and CAS exam fees alone generate millions annually (the SOA had over 30,000 exam registrations in a recent year, which at a few hundred dollars each would exceed $10 million in fees; adding CAS, IFoA, and others pushes this higher). The study material market (manuals, online platforms) also likely sees tens of millions in annual sales globally, paid either by individuals or their employers.

Indirect Costs (Employer-Paid Time and Related Expenses): This is on the order of $2–$5 billion if we consider the value of all the paid study days, lost work hours, and company support provided to actuarial students worldwide. Active employers likely spend a few hundred million dollars per year collectively on study salaries and related support. For instance, if an insurer has 20 students each using 150 hours of work time for exams in a year, that’s 3,000 hours – equivalent to perhaps $100k of salary time. Multiply that by hundreds of firms and government agencies around the world employing actuarial trainees, and one sees how quickly this scales.

In total, the annual global educational cost for actuarial exams in 2025 (direct + indirect) can be crudely estimated around $200–$300 million per year, and rising with growth in the field. The full investment to produce the current pool of qualified actuaries likely exceeds $3–$4 billion when all factors are included. These figures illustrate that actuarial designations, while lucrative for individuals in the long run, require a significant upfront investment by both candidates and their employers.

Trends in Actuarial Education Costs and Inflation

Rising Exam Fees: Exam fees have generally increased with inflation and the growing complexity of exam administration. For example, a decade ago the first SOA exams cost around $225; by 2025 they are $260 (Actuarial Exam Costs (Exam Fees + Study Materials) - Etched Actuarial %). Fellowship exam fees have similarly crept upward (now over $1,200 in the SOA system (Actuarial Exam Costs (Exam Fees + Study Materials) - Etched Actuarial %)). CAS exam fees, now $850 for advanced exams, have also risen over time. These increases reflect higher administration costs (e.g. computer-based testing infrastructure, grading, and in some cases providing more robust learning tools). The actuarial societies typically adjust fees every few years – not dramatically, but enough that cumulative inflation makes today’s exams more expensive than in the past. Candidates and employers have had to budget for these higher fees, though in real terms the increases are moderate and often offset by employer support.

Study Material Evolution: The cost landscape for study materials has evolved with technology. In the past, students relied on thick printed manuals and textbooks (which had upfront costs but could be resold or shared). Today, there is a proliferation of online seminars, question banks, and adaptive learning platforms which, while very effective, come at a price. Top-tier online courses for an exam can run $500–$1,000+, a relatively new expense that prior generations didn’t face in the same way. However, there are also now more free or low-cost resources (such as free study guides, YouTube tutorials, open-source materials) that motivated candidates can use to reduce costs. Overall, many candidates still opt to purchase professional prep courses for their efficiency, which has increased the average spend per exam compared to decades ago. Publishers and coaching companies have effectively become part of the actuarial education ecosystem, and their prices generally track market demand (with some offering student discounts or bundled deals to keep costs competitive).

Employer Support and Budgeting: One positive industry trend is that employers have strengthened their support for actuarial education over time. It’s now a standard benefit for actuarial employers to pay for exams and materials and to provide study time ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). This was not always universally true in past generations. The competitive market for actuarial talent has pushed companies to offer generous exam support programs to attract and retain students. Many companies also offer raises or bonuses for each exam passed ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics), which helps offset personal costs and incentivizes progress. Essentially, a larger share of the educational cost burden has shifted from individuals to employers over the years, especially once a student is hired. This support has made the profession more accessible to those who might not afford multiple exam fees on their own. From the employer perspective, these costs are an investment in building future Fellows who will lead projects and sign actuarial opinions.

Diversity and Accessibility Efforts: Recognizing that cost can still be a barrier (especially in developing countries or for career-changers without initial sponsorship), actuarial organizations have introduced programs to ease the financial burden. For example, the SOA and CAS now jointly run an Actuarial Exam Support Program (AESP) to reimburse exam fees and provide stipends for study materials to candidates with financial need (Exam Fee Discount Programs | Casualty Actuarial Society) (Exam Fee Discount Programs | Casualty Actuarial Society). There are also reduced exam fee structures for certain regions – the IFoA offers a “reduced rate” exam fee (about 40% lower) for candidates with annual income below a threshold (Exam Q&As for non members). Such measures have been implemented in recent years, indicating an industry trend toward greater inclusivity. This helps expand the actuarial talent pipeline globally by lowering cost barriers, and it shows that professional bodies are aware of educational cost pressures and are actively working to mitigate them for those in need.

Inflation and Cost of Living Impacts: The general rise in cost of living affects actuarial education in subtler ways too. As salaries increase with inflation, the cost (and value) of paid study hours rises proportionally. Training budgets might need to grow to continue offering the same level of support in real terms. Additionally, expenses like travel to exams or seminars go up with fuel and lodging prices. Actuarial societies hosting in-person courses have faced higher venue and catering costs, which can reflect in course fees. Despite these factors, the return on investment for qualifying as an actuary remains quite strong – the median actuarial salary (>$120k in the U.S.) ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) far outweighs the upfront costs. Employers and candidates therefore continue to find the expenses justifiable, though they monitor and adjust for inflation (for instance, some companies periodically increase the raise amounts for exam progress to keep up with market salary growth).

Key Insights and Conclusions

The educational path to becoming an actuary is intensive and costly, both in direct expenditures and in time. By 2025, the average cost per actuarial exam, including fees and materials, is roughly on the order of $500–$1,000, and there are about 10+ exams to pass for full qualification (exact number varies by credential) (Actuarial credentialing and exams - Wikipedia) (Actuary Exams Guide: 7 Essential Tips & Resources for Success). This means an individual might incur around $5,000–$10,000 in direct costs through their exam journey (somewhat less if supported by scholarships or employer reimbursement, or more if multiple attempts are needed). On a global scale, with tens of thousands of exams taken annually, these direct costs accumulate to tens of millions of dollars each year in exam fees and study purchases.

Indirectly, the opportunity cost of exam study – primarily borne by employers via paid study time – is even larger. Actuarial employers essentially subsidize the training by granting study leave (often 150+ hours per exam (Four Futures for Actuaries in the Wake of AI - Actuarial Review Magazine)) and absorbing that productivity loss. This commitment can equal several months of an employee’s working time over the course of qualification, representing a huge collective investment in human capital. It’s a distinctive feature of the actuarial profession that employers routinely finance and facilitate professional exams to this degree; few other fields have such an extensive exam process intertwined with work. The rationale is that the expertise and credentials actuaries gain pay off for the company in the long run. Indeed, the presence of these costs in company budgets underlines how valued actuaries are – firms are willing to spend $50k+ per person in support because a Fellow’s contributions (and regulatory signing authority) are critical to the business.

Over time, actuarial education costs have risen modestly, but the structure of support has also evolved. Inflation has made exams and materials a bit pricier, yet technology and scale have provided new study tools and sometimes efficiencies (for instance, online exams save travel costs; e-books can be cheaper than hardcopies). The industry has shown a trend of sharing the cost burden, with employers, actuarial associations, and candidates each playing a part. Employers now cover most direct costs for many candidates ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics), and associations are chipping in via subsidy programs for those without employer backing (Exam Fee Discount Programs | Casualty Actuarial Society). In essence, while the total global educational cost in 2025 for actuarial training is very large – on the order of billions of dollars invested in the workforce – it is spread across various stakeholders and over many years.

In summary: Becoming an actuary entails significant direct expenses (exam fees, study materials, courses) and even larger indirect costs (study time and lost wages), but these are usually spread out and often funded by employers in the profession. With roughly 80,000 actuaries worldwide (The Global Reach of the Actuarial Profession | Casualty Actuarial Society), the global investment in actuarial education and certification is substantial. This investment has grown with inflation and the expanding scope of actuarial exams, but it has been managed through strong industry support mechanisms and value recognition. Actuarial organizations keep refining the process – balancing rigorous standards with accessibility – to ensure the cost of qualifying, while high, yields a reward that justifies the effort. The result is a highly skilled professional community whose educational costs, though large in aggregate, are a foundational investment in financial risk expertise worldwide.

Sources: Society of Actuaries, Casualty Actuarial Society, IFoA, and International Actuarial Association statistics; exam fee schedules and study resource data; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; and industry publications on actuarial education costs and employer practices (The Global Reach of the Actuarial Profession | Casualty Actuarial Society) (Actuarial credentialing and exams - Wikipedia) (Actuary Exams Guide: 7 Essential Tips & Resources for Success) (Actuarial Exam Costs (Exam Fees + Study Materials) - Etched Actuarial %) (Online Seminars for Professional Actuarial Examinations – Actuary) (Associateship Professionalism Course (APC) - SOA) (Four Futures for Actuaries in the Wake of AI - Actuarial Review Magazine) ( Actuaries : Occupational Outlook Handbook: : U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) (Exam Fee Discount Programs | Casualty Actuarial Society) (Exam Q&As for non members).

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